Tiny Nick Shares His Top Gambling Picks for 11/07

Locks Picks for NCAA Basketball
NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) – Stony Brook/St John’s Over 146.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars)
The total for this game has increased by 4 points, but I still believe in the narrative behind this bet. With Rick Pitino making his return to power conference basketball, I expect him and his team to put on a strong performance. Additionally, playing at St John’s, known for high tempo, suggests a fast-paced game. Stony Brook’s move to the CAA also indicates a need for a faster tempo. Overall, I believe Pitino will keep his foot on the gas throughout the game, pushing the total over 146.5.

NCAA Basketball (1 Unit) – Mount St Mary’s @ Maryland (-20.5; Odds via Caesars)
Maryland has a strong team this season, returning most of their core from last year’s tournament team, including guard Jahmir Young and forward Julian Reese. These players are a significant matchup problem, and I expect them to help dominate against Mount St. Mary’s. With Maryland’s size, athleticism, and shooting, I don’t see the Mountaineers putting up much of a fight.

NCAA Basketball (1 Unit) – North Dakota @ Iowa -11.5 First Half (-110; Odds via Caesars)
When Iowa hosts weaker teams at home, they show no mercy, particularly in the first half. I expect a strong start from them, as seen in previous games, where they have led at the break by significant margins. Even without the star power of previous years, Iowa still has the shooting and tempo to comfortably beat North Dakota.

Bonus Bet (0.75 Unit) – Iowa -20 (-110; Odds via Caesars)
Iowa has a history of dominance in these types of games, with an impressive record when laying 15-plus points at home. I anticipate this trend continuing, making this a worthwhile bet.

NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) – Auburn vs Baylor -1 (-110; Odds via Caesars)
Baylor has an edge in talent over Auburn, even with a new lineup. I believe Baylor’s talent will shine through in this matchup, giving them the upper hand.

Bonus Bet (0.5 Unit) – Auburn/Baylor Over 147.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars)
Despite the increase in the total, I still see potential for an over in this game. Both teams have the offensive capabilities to push the score higher, especially considering the potential for an up-tempo game.

Degenerates Pick for NCAA Basketball
NCAA Basketball – UNC Asheville +11 @ Michigan (-110; Odds via Caesars)
Asheville has a strong team, led by Drew Pember, and I expect them to give Michigan a run for their money. With the expectation of a down year for Michigan, I see potential for Asheville to stay competitive in this game.

Overall, these picks are based on careful analysis and consideration of team dynamics and gameplay styles.